Analysis: The ‘Donald Trump 2024’ trial balloon simply received formally floated

And with that, the “Donald Trump 2024” trial balloon was launched.
See, Donald Trump is aware of he is misplaced this election. Yes, he’ll proceed to tweet about fraud (all baseless) and push longshot lawsuits for so long as the authorized system permits. But he is aware of that it is a misplaced trigger. And as a result of Trump is at all times excited about the way to survive to battle one other day, he is already begun to place himself for a protracted flirtation with a re-run for president in 2024. And this tweet is just one a part of that plan.
Don’t consider me? Take a have a look at Trump’s maniacal efforts to boost cash within the wake of the loss to President-elect Joe Biden.
Even other than these efforts, any scholar of Trump’s life — out and in of politics — is aware of that this can be a man who will NEVER willingly surrender the nationwide highlight. He spent his complete life feeling as if he was being excluded from the fanciest golf equipment — actually and figuratively — by the so-called “elites.” His 2016 victory was him barging into the room — and everybody who had turned their noses up at him prior to now being pressured to not simply acknowledge him however kowtow to him.
You suppose he’ll stroll away from that? No method, no how.
Instead, the following few years are more likely to play out one thing like this:
1) Trump by no means really concedes that he misplaced the election, insisting — details be damned! — that he was cheated out of it. That preserves the concept — in his thoughts and that of his pliant base — that he’s nonetheless the last word winner.
2) Trump makes use of his Twitter feed to proceed to advertise his private and political model. That contains — however will not be restricted to — touting any and each ballot that exhibits him both as the most well-liked Republican within the occasion or effectively forward of all different attainable contenders within the 2024 race, working down Republicans who break from his insurance policies in any method and rewriting the historical past of his 4 years in workplace as a time of huge success on all fronts.
3) He travels the nation holding marketing campaign rallies — ostensibly for different GOP candidates however actually for him — that evoke the carnival-like environment of his 2016 and 2020 campaigns.
4) He calls into quite a lot of his favourite exhibits — “Hannity” on Fox News, Newsmax, and so forth. — to speak concerning the state of the nation. When requested about whether or not he may run once more, Trump makes clear that he hears from individuals day by day who need him to (this will or might not really be true) and leaves the door huge open to a second bid.
Does Trump really run once more in 2024? Hard to know. The reality is that until one thing drastic occurs inside the base of the GOP over the following few years, it’s totally arduous to see how anybody might beat Trump in a presidential main.
Whether or not Trump in the end runs, he’ll spend so long as he can milking the chance that he may run. He will do that not as a result of it’s good for the Republican Party however as a result of it’s good for him, politically and personally.
Which is what this has at all times been about anyway.